Last year's defense ranked 18th in the league in scoring defense.
Kevin and Mike have already given you their takes on the inactivity of the Atlanta Falcons in free agency. Now it's time for yet another perspective here at the Grits Blitz Blog. There comes a time when even the most positive and hopeful of fans has to look at what is before them, and tell it like it is. And folks, that time has come for this Falcons fan. The truth isn't always pretty, and right now some things in Atlanta's professional football franchise are pretty ugly.
It's not all doom and gloom, obviously. This is still a good team overall. But aren't we striving and reaching for more than good now? We have to be. We've tasted some success and it's time to move on to bigger and better things. That's what owner Arthur Blank, GM Thomas Dimitroff and head coach Mike Smith gave us as their mission statement during the press conference in January. It's going to be difficult to do that given what we are possibly looking at to work with.
There are things that don't need to be fixed, and we shouldn't waste time trying to reinvent the wheel or fixing what isn't broken. Matt Ryan is fine. He's one of the top quarterbacks in the league with all the tools to become elite given the opportunity...however we could stand to upgrade at the backup QB position. He has plenty of targets, as our wide receiver and tight end corps is deep and vastly talented. The running game can compete with the best of them, both as feature backs when needed or as a committee. Special teams were addressed last season. The kicking game is solid, and Matt Bosher really started to come into his own as a punter as the season progressed last year. Yes, the offensive line needs some work, but they will be getting better this year. That pretty much sums up what we are doing well.
But with all that good, there is a lot of bad. And some of the moves made in the past, and during this off-season have only amplified that bad even more. Since I promised to tell it like it is, here goes. Unless the Falcons pull a rabbit out of the hat and make some sort of salary cap magic happen, this defense is going to be wretched next season. Last year they gave up big points (18th in the league), they couldn't get off the field on third down (giving up 44% of 3rd down conversions), couldn't stop the pass (20th in the league), and they got burned consistently on big plays. Marginal stats for a playoff team.
Now if you take those stats and throw into the mix that we have really done nothing to change ourselves defensively and will most likely be losing a couple of key pieces, you have a formula for what could be one of the five worst defenses in the league next season. Unless our offense comes out scoring like last season's New Orleans Saints, it's going to make it difficult to win games. The big question is, why didn't we make those needed changes on defense? The answer is multi-faceted, and all boils down to money and how it was spent.
The Falcons just spent essentially $17 million in cap space to re-sign Brent Grimes, Thomas DeCoud and Kroy Biermann. Nothing against any of those guys, but that wasn't a very judicious use of funds in my opinion. Why not hang on to that money and see if you can land a playmaker or two on defense? If you didn't catch a big fish and any of those three got away, they could have been fairly easily replaced, as none of them are really huge emerging stars. (Brent Grimes is good, but is he really a $10 million player?) And while we are on the subject of cap money, why were Sam Baker and Peria Jerry even listed on the roster and taking up cap room? Again, two guys who not only could have been easily replaced, but should have been. We are also still taking nearly a $1 million cap hit from former DE Jamaal Anderson, who was released last season.
So now you are stuck with the same defense you had last season, only you are going to be (probably) without your leading tackler (LB Curtis Lofton) and your leading sack producer (DE John Abraham). The only replacement plugged in thus far is LB Lofa Tatupu who was signed as a free agent from Seattle last week. My argument against that is that at least with Lofton you knew what you were getting. He might not have been one of the top five linebackers in the league, but he was pretty darn good. Tatupu is a question mark, both physically and mentally, with a history of injuries and concussions. In regards to Abraham it would seem the plan is to fill that gap with Kroy Biermann, who was primarily used on third down situations last season, and we weren't great on third down. If you ask me, new defensive coordinator Mike Nolan is going to have his hands full. Not only is he going to have to teach a new scheme to this defense, but he's going to have to try to squeeze more talent out of them than there really is available. Bad combination.
To make matters even worse, we are handcuffed as to what we are going to be able to draft to help the defense out due to the Julio Jones deal from last year. Right now it would almost seem to me that the front office has pretty much determined that we should just stand pat this year and hope for the best, until we can get our draft picks back in 2013. If that's the case, the Falcons may very well miss the playoffs this year, as I don't see a team with this defense being able to win more than eight games. Told you it wasn't going to be a pretty picture.
UPDATE - The Falcons did re-sign John Abraham (and I take full credit for this move), but I still don't think standing pat is what is going to get the Falcons over the hump.
I think you had to look a the depth charts and see what was needed more. Dent is there to replace Lofton but no
one to replace a top DB like Grimes. That is why the Falcons will draft the best DB they can get in the 3rd round,
( Ben Jones-Center-Georgia) will go in the 2nd as Ryan does not have a center. Speaking of linebackers, why not
place C. Matthews as Weatherspoon's backup this year & more in a row on special teams. He was drafted in the
7th last year and was never used. I like the ATL. DE's I think they will do better this year as Ray Edward's knee
should be 100%. To the ATL. O-LINE: Again, if Ben Jones is on draft board, the Falcon's MUST get him to plug
the center position with Hawley as the backup center/guard. Another question is Sam Baker & P. Jerry?
These guys was 1st round picks, I think it is time they start playing like 1st rounders or get traded.
@JRS in Miami Thanks for registering and commenting! Another thing to think about with Lofton is that there has been little to no movement in free agency at the inside/middle linebacker position. The only MLB that has signed was Dan Connor and he inked just a two-year deal with the Cowboys. The Falcons could still land a pretty good LB in the free agency pool that could compete with Tatupu and Lofton for playing time. And not just looking at the depth chart for DBs but also looking at the free agency pool...we simply were not going to find somebody in free agency that was a better CB than Grimes whereas at LB, Nolan might not even be sold on Lofton as a fit for his system as we have Weatherspoon and Nicholas to play on 3rd downs and when Nolan uses his Nickel package- which will probably be often.
@JRS in Miami I think looking at Dent or Tatupu as a replacement for Lofton is way off. Lofton is one of the best LB's in the league, and young. Dent and Tatupu combined probably wont be able to have the impact that Lofton did. Dent may be something to look at down the road, but i don't see him ever being a premier LB in the league. The problem is that we have a bunch of role-players and no thumpers.
And saying Ryan doesn't have a center isn't exactly right. There's nothing saying that McClure wont be re-signed, and he's the best option right now. If they do draft Jones or another center, it will take at least one season if not more for them to become NFL ready. Ray Edwards is still a question mark. Was his poor performance last year due to injury, or due to not working well in the Falcons system, or is has his game passed him by? Not the kind of question you want to be asking. I think Nolan's "idea" of a bunch of guys with a few sacks isn't exactly realistic. Name me one SB winning team who didn't have an impact pass rusher who lead their team in sacks.
Baker and Jerry? Traded for what. Falcons should have cut bait and cut their losses with those two.
Brilliant front office we have, signing Julio Jones when what we have needed all along for 2 years is defense but to give up that many draft picks for one player??? Thomas Dimitroff should be fired hands down! nothing can justify the trade for Julio Jones and at the end of the day Thomas Dimwit has the final say on personal. 2012 is way to optimistic to turn this ugly situation in Atlanta around. Lets face it The Atlanta Falcons are in for some very ugly seasons over the next three years. We still need playmakers on DEFENSE!! Playoff recap, Packers did not punt once in that fiasco of a playoff game, and the new Offense scored 0 points vs the Giants the next year. The sad thing is Mike Smith will probably be fired when all is said and done and the few playmakers we do have will retire or move on by the time Atlanta corrects this Mess.
Sincerely Very Pissed,
@schrumpf I think the man problem is that Dimitroff and company had a plan from day one, and it was working. But they severely deviated from that plan and colored outside the lines with the Juilo Jones deal, and it's going to take 2 seasons to recover from that move at a minimum. In the meantime some of the other pieces who are aging or coming up to new contracts have the chance to slip away. Although I was glad to see Abraham get re-signed, I think that keeping Lofton was a much more presssing issue. Lofton is still young and is an every down MLB. Lots of questions to be sure...and if Mike Nolan can't get more production out of the personnel on hand (which seems to be what the plan for this year was) then it's going to be a long season. i'm still predicting 8-8.
@schrumpf Rick, thanks for coming to the site and for registering and commenting. The one thing I would caution you about is to remember the Falcons history. Before Thomas Dimitroff got here we never even had back-to-back winning seasons. Right now, it's very frustrating as a fan because we have to wait and see what unfolds. We clearly aren't as good in the playoffs as we need to be but we are in the conversation now instead of being a laughing stock of the league like we were just a few years ago.
I do agree that we have a somewhat small window with some of the players that we do have like a Roddy White or a Tony Gonzales. Like you, I'd like to see us take that next step and I do hope we do it soon.